Wednesday, November 03, 2004

My National Election Results

While the networks and candidates are still dancing around the final tally and outcome of yesterday's elections, I am not.

Bush scored 58,296,120 general votes versus Kerry's 54,778,898.
That's 51% to 48%.

Bush won Florida 52% to 47% with a difference of 376,923 votes.
There aren't enough provisional or absentee ballots to change that.
It wasn't as close as in 2000, by any strech of the imagination.

I'm calling Ohio Bush country, with a 51% to 49% split.
Again, I don't think there are enough ballots floating around to change that.

I think Bush will hold on in Iowa with a 50% to 49% victory.

New Mexico is really tight, but I think it will remain for Bush.

So, to recap how I see it falling at this point:
Iowa - 7
New Mexico - 5
Ohio - 20

This would bring the electoral votes to a total of:
Bush 290
Kerry 248

So Bush wins by popular vote, unlike in 2000.
Bush wins several news states and thus by more electoral votes than in 2000.
Similar to 2000 though, will be the Democrats challenging everything tooth-and-nail, which is understandable. (I think the outcome of all that will still be the same as 2000 as well.)

The Republican party gained even more seats in the Senate, with the suprise of the night having to be Senate Minority Leader Dashle losing his re-election bid in South Dakota. The Republican party also retained majority of the House seats.

Same sex marriage bans in 11 states have been approved, most by huge margins.

Let the mass suicides, expatrioting and migrations to other countries begin.

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